Maybe not within 24 hours, but there are going to be conflicts for sure. The only question is will those conflicts be rapidly resolved or will we get another decade of civil war?
If Russia gets to keep the airbase in Latakia and the port in Tartus, which seems to be a possibility, it would be far more feasible to continue their shenannigans in Africa.
Its a catastrophe for any sort of Russian military work in Africa. The Air and Naval installations in Syria are essential for maintaining these efforts. The Rebels in Syria seem to know this too, so they are sending out feelers to see if Russia is willing to pay them cash and prestige for letting them stick around.
I have sources in Russia that more Or less tell me currently they are preoccupied with Ukraine and Chechnya that they really dont have a lot to spare for Syria.
NATO got utterly humiliated by the Taliban taking over the country in a few months and they were further behind the curve on military equipment than these rebels. If NATO still has a reputation as a military force than Russia almost certainly does, they kept the place functional for nearly a decade now before it just withered away overnight.
Taliban only began taking over once NATO troops left, Syria still had Russians actively deployed dawg...
Is there anything we can do to speed this up? Before tomorrow would be ideal.
The big difference between this and Afghanistan was that NATO had washed its hands of Afghanistan months before the fall. There was never any question about the fact Kabul would stand or fall on its own merits with limited to no external support.
It is very likely Israel takes control of a bunch of territory to keep butthurt Iranian tools from doing anything rash, and provided the next government isn't all "Death to Jews at all costs" will cede it back as a "good will"/"we never wanted it anyway" gesture, or possibly extends the area that is under UN peace keeping. And if the new government is all "death to the jews" well obviously they can't give these strategically important areas to anti-semites.
Short answer: No, Wagner is still able to do their job as PMC. It might be a bit of a blow to the PR but Wagner had been scaled way back in Syria. If you need to hire guys with guns, Wagner is still as viable of a choice as it was.
He gave up long ago
The rapidity of this somewhat suggests a backroom deal which, if true, means Russia will quietly sign deals to confirm the status of these bases. Don't expect the rebels will push too hard given the subsidies from the land alone will probably keep their government afloat long enough to make it permanent. Barring outside influence of course.
It's because he is rich. He plundered the treasury, plundered the land, and when there was nothing left to take, he left, like the locust he is. He never cared about anything but himself
This seems to be you acknowledging that a deal was made after all.
Good thing they're not working on their own. As I said, the SOR, made up of Druze and their allies, currently control everything south of Damascus. The specific Druze entity in the SOR is the Al-Jabar Brigade.
She's throwing down a flurry of cope tweets every 5-10 minutes or so. She's lost it mentally.
