War Analysis suggests US was responsible for deadly strike on Iranian elementary school

https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/06/middleeast/iran-minab-elementary-school-investigation-us-strike-intl
https://archive.is/Gship

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The United States military was likely responsible for the strike on an elementary school in southern Iran that killed scores of children, the deadliest incident of civilian casualties in the US and Israel’s almost week-long war with Iran, according to CNN and expert analysis of evidence.
Satellite imagery, geolocated videos, public statements from US officials and the assessment of munitions experts suggest that the Shajare Tayyiba elementary school in Minab was hit on February 28 at around the same time as an attack that American forces likely carried out on a neighboring Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) naval base.

The White House has not ruled out that US military personnel carried out the strike that, according to Iranian state media, killed at least 168 children and 14 teachers. An Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesman said at a briefing Friday that he was “not aware of any IDF activity in the area.” Both countries stressed that they do not target civilians.

When assessing which military is responsible for a particular strike – in any conflict – CNN typically obtains images of the remnants of the weapons used in the attack and provides these to munitions experts so that their provenance can be assessed.
With Iran’s internet blackout, images and footage from the ground are limited. CNN has not been able to examine such evidence in this case, so any assessment cannot be conclusive.
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However, other evidence points toward US responsibility for the strike, which occurred Saturday morning – the first day of the working and school week in Iran. Videos geolocated by CNN show that the school was struck at or around the same time as the naval base, with one showing smoke billowing both from the IRGC facility and the school building.

Satellite imagery from 2013 showed that the school and the IRGC base were once part of the same compound. But images from 2016 revealed that a fence had been erected to separate the school from the rest of the base, and that a separate entrance to the school had been built. In December 2025, imagery showed dozens of people in the school’s courtyard, apparently playing in what appears to be a court for ballgames.

School and adjacent Iranian military base hit by several strikes​

Satellite imagery from March 3 shows extensive damage to several buildings at the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval base adjacent to the Shajarah Tayyebeh girls’ school in Minab. More than 100 students were killed in the school strike, according to the Iranian government.​

N.R. Jenzen-Jones, a munitions expert and the director of Armament Research Services (ARES), told CNN that the satellite imagery and videos “paint a picture of multiple simultaneous or near-simultaneous strikes” hitting both the IRGC compound and the school.

Initially, speculation swirled online that the blast at the school could have been caused by misfiring Iranian air defenses, as the IRGC tried to repel incoming air strikes.
But Jenzen-Jones said that explanation was unlikely, since recent imagery of the naval base showed the buildings had sustained significant damage, suggesting they had been struck with air-delivered precision-guided munitions, rather than “air defense missiles that have gone awry.”

“We’re seeing targeted strikes that look like they’re intended to disable those buildings. That’s the most likely outcome,” he added.

Jenzen-Jones also said that military bases such as the one at Minab would often be among the “pre-planned targets” to be struck in the opening exchanges of a conflict.

US officials have confirmed that the US has struck military targets in southern Iran. In a briefing Wednesday, Gen. Dan Caine, chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, presented a map that plotted American and Israeli strikes on Iran over the first 100 hours of the war. He said Israel had mostly struck northern Iran while the US had targeted the south.

Caine said that along Iran’s “southern axis,” the US has “continued to provide pressure from the sea, along the southeastern side of the coast, and has been attriting naval capability all along the Strait and up into the Arabian Gulf at a size and scale sufficiently to address the targets required.”

The most likely explanation for the school strike, Jenzen-Jones said, is that the US inadvertently struck the facility while it was carrying out the attack on the naval base, not realizing that the school was no longer part of the IRGC compound, or having failed to update its targeting officers.

“It’s probably a targeting failure,” he said. “Somewhere in the target cycle, an intelligence failure meant that the target set wasn’t updated, or a decision was made later in the cycle that resulted in the wrong target being hit.”

Asked for comment on the incident, the US Defense Department referred CNN to Central Command (CENTCOM). CNN has asked CENTCOM for comment.

US officials have neither confirmed nor denied responsibility. Central Command said earlier that it was “aware of reports concerning civilian harm resulting from ongoing military operations” and was “looking into them.” Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Wednesday that an investigation had been launched.

Although the probe is ongoing and a conclusion has not yet been reached, Reuters reported Friday that US military investigators believe it is likely that US forces were responsible for the strike on the school.

Volker Türk, the United Nations human rights chief, said Friday that the UN has “significant concerns” about whether the strikes complied with international humanitarian law.

Ravina Shamdasani, a UN spokeswoman, told CNN the strike “must not become just another horrific incident that leaves the headlines and is no longer a priority. There needs to be accountability.”

President Trump and SecDef Hegseth comment:
 
In the end, just like the sinking of the Iranian warship, none of it matters if the US can just say "yeah, and?" to the blowback.

Which is what will happen.

This is just more impotent mewling as the fiction of "rules based world order" continues to die an undignified death on the doorstep of those who liked the concept the most - "experts"
 
The civillians getting killed often have no idea about world politics and "msgs being sent." The exception being Gaza where the country is too small to not know.
As I said, make it known it doesn't matter then our enemies will stop using civilians as human shields. It doesn't matter if the civilians "know" what's going on or not, the Iranian government put them in that situation specifically to deter attacks.

If you let them know that it works, they will keep doing it and put more civilian lives at risk. Its the same logic behind not negotiating with terrorists.

It sucks that civilians will die, but that is war.
 
I think this is a crock of bullshit. I'd like a non-partisan 3rd party to prove this please. Not CNN. Who is basically acting as the Iranian propaganda network now. To spite Trump.
 
Ah, so we really are embracing the way of the psychopath. Cool, cool.
That's how its always been, the idea that war can ever be civil is what causes it to become these protracted affairs where you try to fight around everything and end up with nothing.

I'd call it pragmatism finally reasserting itself after 80 years of trying to implement a kinder and gentler way to essentially still kill your declared enemies.
 
This retard voted for WWIII? If that’s so Trump can go ahead and just annex Greenland, Japan, Israel and Venezuela.
This isnt ww3 you delusional weeb freak. It's a regional conflict that has been going on for over 40 years andwe've just been ignoring it. Also what in the fuck does Japan have to do with anything? Last time I checked Trump advised Japan to beef up their military so they wouldn't have to be so dependent on the US. I'm starting to think you dont know what the word annex even means. You should stick to watching children's cartoons
 
BOMBS AWAY

Pentagon Refuses to Say If AI Was Used to Select Elementary School as Bombing Target​

The grotesque possibility isn’t as far-fetched as it sounds. According to bombshell reporting by the Wall Street Journal, the Pentagon used Anthropic’s Claude AI model in planning military strikes on Iran over the weekend — and is likely still using it as the Trump administration’s attacks carry on.
 
Yeah probably, and it's shitty that it happened, but these things unfortunately do happen when you attack another nation. America isn't going out of its way to target and murder children, but there will naturally be casualties on both sides that are unintended and morally charged. I think it's good to record that it happened, and recognise that it happened, but acting as though it's an impetus to become hippies is silly.
 
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