Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

If you wanted to block Iranian oil exports you could simply seize their ships after they passed the Strait. The US navy hasn't done that because of the market disruptions that would cause. If the US takes Kharg Island the same would happen too. Unless oil somehow keeps flowing. Which could lead to the convoluted and hilarious situation of US marines having to service Chinese tankers loading up on Iranian oil for export.
You really aren't thinking the way Donald Trump is thinking. He has ZERO hang ups on the idea of territorial irredentism. The Greenland situation is proof enough of this. The entire shit show in the Persian Gulf is a direct result of the USA having to rely on third parties from the Europeans to the Arabs to maintain the American presence in the Gulf. If the USA takes the Persian Gulf Islands that Iran controls, then ALL of Americas basing problems are solved at a stroke.

Informative, but there was also no legal justification for bombing Iran. The US does not fuck with Iranian tankers because they are going to China and it would drive up global oil prices even higher. The idea that paperwork for shipments beats out strategic and tactical considerations in an active war is pretty amazing though.
What is International Law but for the American sword.
 
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Breaking news. BBC blames Indians cooking shit using shit on the Iran war.
 
If the USA takes the Persian Gulf Islands that Iran controls, then ALL of Americas basing problems are solved at a stroke.
Those islands are indefensible versus a nation with the ballistic capability of Iran. The southern coast of Iran is a mountain range overlooking these islands. They can only be resupplied by flying over foreign airspace or by sailing through the Strait of Hormuz.

You need to stop trying to interpret the world in mythical terms. You miss really obvious stuff.
 
This is so fucking funny. If he takes a huge dump and clogs the Strait, leaves, and just tells the Europeans and Japan it's now their problem I might be back on the Trump train. Absolute lunatic.
Open source indication is that is not what is going down. The Marines are being mobilized for their largest expedition since the start of World War 2.

In addition to the USS Tripoli MEU, the USS Boxer MEU has also set sail.

This is essentially the equivalent of an entire division once you factor in the fleet train and naval escorts. The US hasn't sent the Marine Corps out like this in a looooong time. Something big is brewing. The fact that it is happening now strongly indicates this was not Trumps first course of action, but Iranian belligerence and allied weakness is forcing his hand.

Those islands are indefensible versus a nation with the ballistic capability of Iran.
Are you referring to the ballistic capability we just blew up?
 
I have a feeling that Trump may be abandoning the whole middle East. He will shrug off the closure of the Straight of Hormuz and instead he will invade Cuba, where he can produce a clear victory. The Straight will be open for ships doing business in Chinese yuan, leading to the downfall of the petrodollar, which in turn ends the US. Am I crazy?
 
The fact that it is happening now strongly indicates this was not Trumps first course of action, but Iranian belligerence and allied weakness is forcing his hand.
He would probably be much more willing to help open the Strait sooner if NATO had just shown the slightest inclination to offer any sort of assistance.
Now that they've proven how worthless and cowardly they truly are, he's shifted his position to, "We're gonna focus on the islands and bankrupt the regime at our own pace. You can cry about it until it's over."
 
Doesn't matter what the US has blown up. Those islands are in FPV range from the mainland. Iran will always have the means to strike whatever installations are on those islands. They are too close to Iran to be anybodies but Irans.
You really are underestimating how much us Americans are a bunch of cowboys at heart. What you are describing is simply a tactical scenario we can overcome with overwhelming firepower. Iran will come to terms or break long before we run out of ammunition, money and manpower.
 
Ukraine already didn't like Iran since most of the drones hitting them, while fired by Russians, have been Iranian made Shahed drones. Makes the fact that Russia won't come and back up Iran's regime outside of supposedly saving the cardboard ayatollah's life all the funnier lmao
The Russians have done so much stuff with their shaheds that they can't even be compared to the original anymore. They've strapped every weapon under the sun on them and have made so many versions of it that they probably have a nuclear one at this point.
 
I have a feeling that Trump may be abandoning the whole middle East. He will shrug off the closure of the Straight of Hormuz and instead he will invade Cuba, where he can produce a clear victory. The Straight will be open for ships doing business in Chinese yuan, leading to the downfall of the petrodollar, which in turn ends the US. Am I crazy?
That's the possible stakes at play here. The US has waged a brutal air campaign on Iran, who has responded by taking the Petrodollar hostage. Leaving now means leaving Iran in active, not threatened to, control of ~20% of the worlds oil shipments. That would do catastrophic damage to the stability of the dollar.
 
I mean would we even need to "hold" the island in the first place? Surely just denying it to the enemy with a few strikes every now and then would be enough.
They also need to prevent Iran from conducting operations from the coastline. Occupying the nearby islands would be much easier and safer than trying to maintain a concentrated naval presence.
 
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That's the possible stakes at play here. The US has waged a brutal air campaign on Iran, who has responded by taking the Petrodollar hostage. Leaving now means leaving Iran in active, not threatened to, control of ~20% of the worlds oil shipments. That would do catastrophic damage to the stability of the dollar.
Which is why we aren't going to do it. Trump offered the international community the chance to take responsibility for the straights of Hormuz. They refused. So now, we are going to turn the Persian Gulf into an American lake.

They also need to prevent Iran from conducting operations from the coastline. Occupying he nearby islands would be much easier and safer than trying to maintain a concentrated naval presence.
Subtext, we can put Artillery like HIMARS and 155mm on it, along with Air Defense like CRAM and Patriots. The Islands are also sparsely populated. There is zero chance of a domestic insurgency from an American occupation.
 
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Iran issues an evacuation order for the entire 200,000 strong city of Ras al-Khaimah, the UAE.
To citizens and residents in the city of Ras al-Khaimah in the United Arab Emirates:

Given that this area is being used for operations targeting Iranian islands, the city of Ras Al Khaimah has become a target during the upcoming period. All residents are requested to leave the city as soon as possible
 
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