Chuckwagon
kiwifarms.net
- Registrado
- 9 de Feb, 2021
They're 'sucking up' (issuing some supine statements basically saying they don't want to get into any shit with Israel atm) because they really have no choice at this point, this 13-year war has utterly gutted Syria and rendered it incapable of engaging in any great foreign adventures (against Jews and anyone else) for probably the rest of our lifetimes at the very least. Israel is literally bombing Assad's old weapon caches & military offices with impunity & also expanding their Golan buffer zone right now and HTS/FSA/everyone aren't doing much of anything about it not because they enjoy getting reamed by da Joos, but because they literally do not have the means to respond and the last thing HTS' leadership wants after finally winning this war is to get wiped out like the Hezbollah leadership (the RuAF was their bane for much of the civil war, and Israeli air power could easily be their bane now if they piss Netanyahu off).
Conservative Sunnis & Islamists, as a rule, do not tend to actually be fond of Jews in their own right (although some are willing to make peace with Israel, ex. Jordan, or even align with them against a shared geopolitical enemy like Iran, this does not mean they love Jews now - you should not expect post-Abraham Accords Riyadh to be hosting a synagogue any time soon for example). Al-Jolani/Al-Shar'a might be pragmatic enough to fit that mold (he has shown himself to be, if nothing else, a huge pragmatist & opportunist, and I don't mean that as an insult because it means he's easier to deal with than a genuine fanatical jihadist) but it's far from guaranteed. Also, like one page ago there was a screenshot of some of his men declaring their hopes to drive onward to Jerusalem so even if he wants to remain at peace with Israel, his subordinates could still get antsy & start some shit on their own.
As to whether trying to make nice with Israel and the West will bring Syria prosperity, only God knows. Even if foreign aid & dollars do come in, you would have to hope that HTS actually uses them to good effect instead of just pocketing it for themselves; that said, they did actually invest in making Idlib livable when they were trapped there for the past four years (it is one of the points in AJ's favor over Assad in fact), so this may be a case where a little optimism is warranted. I don't think Trump is going to be inclined to send them loads of money for bleeding-heart humanitarian reasons, but they might be able to strike a deal over those oil & gas fields in the east that Wagner used to patrol, and that would also bring in more dosh. Honestly, we're all just going to have to wait & see what happens over the coming months & years, keep in mind the rebels have not even finished forming their new gov't yet.
here. AJ went to Abu Ghraib (that could not have been fun) and consistently decimated the US-funded & equipped rebel outfits in his corner of Syria, from Harakat Hazzm to the 13th Division to Division 30, for years (stopping only because any survivors from these groups went & joined the SNA, staying clear of HTS/JaN and under Turkish protection). He's a pragmatist sure, and he certainly must hate Iran (if not for being Shiites then for propping Assad up for 13 years & to the tune of at least $50 billion) but pragmatism 1) doesn't equal any real affection and 2) has its limits - as mentioned, even if AJ is 100% committed to realism and willing to play ball, not all of his subordinates are and they could potentially blow up his efforts (perhaps literally) if he doesn't keep them on a very short leash in the coming years.
