U.S./Global Debt/Deficit

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The U.S. has a debt of $17 trillion dollars. Economists in recent years say that the market will crash and there will be another Great Depression. Some of us believe it will happen and some of us believe it won't happen. What can the U.S. do to pay off the debt, although it will take years for it to happen. What suggestions do you have that the U.S. can pay off its debt? The same can be said about the global economy as well.
 
I don't buy into that at all quite frankly. A lot of these pundits have been saying the same thing for years and years and nothing has happened. I've heard the same shit said about QE and what the Fed is doing which is another indication to me that they don't have as much of a background or understanding of finance or economics or how the markets work. In my personal opinion, even though I don't think that sort of depression for the US is likely in the short term and that you've had the Dow keep soaring ever since the financial crisis happened, that doesn't mean that other countries like China or Russia aren't going to run into some deep problems with bubbles.

If anything, I think deflation is a problem that needs to be dealt with more and has been an issue for the US for a long while now and for other countries as well.
 
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I don't buy into that at all quite frankly. A lot of these pundits have been saying the same thing for years and years and nothing has happened. I've heard the same shit said about QE and what the Fed is doing which is another indication to me that they don't have that much of a solid background in economics or finance.

A friend of mine was telling me how if this sort of debt really is an issue in the United States that they would find some way to restructure it anyway.

I'm on the fence with this. While I think that some of these pundits are bullshit and looking to make money off the gullible and scared, I do fear that the U.S. won't pay off its debts. I remember seeing a blog post online about using Kickstarter to pay off the debt. I think that's a good idea but it will never lift off. Most Americans truly don't give a shit in the long run. If Shenmue 3 can get over a million dollars to be made, why not gather $17 trillion to pay off our debts? Apparently priorities are backwards nowadays.
 
I'm on the fence with this. While I think that some of these pundits are bullshit and looking to make money off the gullible and scared, I do fear that the U.S. won't pay off its debts. I remember seeing a blog post online about using Kickstarter to pay off the debt. I think that's a good idea but it will never lift off. Most Americans truly don't give a shit in the long run. If Shenmue 3 can get over a million dollars to be made, why not gather $17 trillion to pay off our debts? Apparently priorities are backwards nowadays.
I'm looking at the debt clock again and if you look really closely, you can see how credit card debt, student loan debt, mortgage and other personal debt literally dwarf what the public debt is right now by huge margins. I think if anything, that's also quite a big issue that this country needs to address. I wouldn't mind if they came up with the means to even forgive some of it depending on the context. The national assets are clearly there and when you look at the debt clock that way, there is still more of that go around than what the public debt actually is.

Any way you look at it, people are getting fucked on a daily basis. I think we can both come to an agreement on that.
 
I'm looking at the debt clock again and if you look really closely, you can see how credit card debt, student loan debt, mortgage and other personal debt literally dwarf what the public debt is right now by huge margins. I think if anything, that's also quite a big issue that this country needs to address. I wouldn't mind if they came up with the means to even forgive some of it depending on the context. The national assets are clearly there and when you look at the debt clock that way, there is still more of that go around than what the public debt actually is.

Any way you look at it, people are getting fucked on a daily basis. I think we can both come to an agreement on that.

Oh I totally agree on what I bolded. Looking at the Debt Clock right now. Fuck, it's $18 trillion now. What concerns me is the Not in Labor Force catergories. I wonder if they are part of the unemployment rate(probably not). Our debt with China is in the millions. What does the U.S. regularly trade with China that we're in debt with them? I know we borrow money from them, but what else do we owe? These numbers hurt my eyes to be quite honest.
 
Frankly the situation is the same in my country. Public debt is bad, Private debt is worse by a considerable margin.

It's interesting how pigeon-holed the dialogue is. Public debt must be addressed now, while private debt is hardly discussed. It's so under the radar that the private sector has begun re-leveraging it'self with more debt.
 
Frankly the situation is the same in my country. Public debt is bad, Private debt is worse by a considerable margin.

It's interesting how pigeon-holed the dialogue is. Public debt must be addressed now, while private debt is hardly discussed. It's so under the radar that the private sector has begun re-leveraging it'self with more debt.

It's more the more reason why I'm watching the 2016 elections a little more closely this time around. Why is the private sector filling up with more debt?
 
Why is the private sector filling up with more debt?

@WanderingVagabond There's several schools of thought- here's mine (if it helps)

The debt is a symptom of an advanced stage of economic 'financialization'.

Any capitalist country requires a base amount of growth to maintain it's living standards. The U.K needs 3%, The U.S needs about 4% (i think) and china needs a massive 7%. If you don't achieve constant growth, your economic system stagnates or contracts. People are suddenly out of work and industries fail. That situation needs to be mitigated.

(Some people thought it could be avoided all together. That's a discussion for another time)

Now, something happened to the economy during the mid-to-late 90's to the early 2000's. 'financialization' occurred. Banks, private investors and hedge funds started taking up more of the economic pie. Finance is a necessary component of capitalism (Access to credit allows growth, etc), but it acquired a cancerous hold on the economy. This is due party to the increasingly complex financial instruments proliferating investment banking. These instruments made lots of money quickly, but were very unstable. Loans that would be considered toxic were bundled with 'good' money and sold as as CDO's or 'options', like derivatives (etc). Many of these practices were essentially fraud.

Now If you're playing fast and loose with your morals- you might also start lending to people and corporations you shouldn't, even if their financial status isn't stable enough. Considerations like this were ignored, so bad money flowed like cocaine. All of this extra cancerous money that got pumped into the economy covered up the west's slowly depleting manufacturing base, increased automation of tasks that used to require human labor and spiraling wage inequality. Several sector bubbles were generated from it (think the housing crash of 08-09, that was compounded by the financial instruments).

A good chunk of the public debt (at least here) Was accumulated by saving the economy, the rest by PFI projects and war spending (amongst other smaller things)

The leading political party of my country (New Labour bastards) made sure that the necessary deregulation occurred to make it all run smoothly. The conservatives like to position themselves as historically opposed to the frenzy of fraud and debt, but they were more than happy to accommodate all of this. They even supported the public spending of labour during these years!

The economy still functions the same now. More bad loans are given out, the traded instruments are worse than ever and most importantly nobody cares. The leading narratives don't include private debt as a problem. I think this has something to do with how democracy works. Ask yourself the question- "What would I do if I was told all these fires were my fault?" if you weren't paying attention, would you vote for the person who said that? People in my country don't care. They could have reigned in the banks, put some controls in, and/or dealt with the other problems (wage gap, etc). They let the situation get out of control and now they want cheep scapegoats.

That's the situation basically. At least the way my eyes see it. :)
 
@WanderingVagabond There's several schools of thought- here's mine (if it helps)

The debt is a symptom of an advanced stage of economic 'financialization'.

Any capitalist country requires a base amount of growth to maintain it's living standards. The U.K needs 3%, The U.S needs about 4% (i think) and china needs a massive 7%. If you don't achieve constant growth, your economic system stagnates or contracts. People are suddenly out of work and industries fail. That situation needs to be mitigated.

(Some people thought it could be avoided all together. That's a discussion for another time)

Now, something happened to the economy during the mid-to-late 90's to the early 2000's. 'financialization' occurred. Banks, private investors and hedge funds started taking up more of the economic pie. Finance is a necessary component of capitalism (Access to credit allows growth, etc), but it acquired a cancerous hold on the economy. This is due party to the increasingly complex financial instruments proliferating investment banking. These instruments made lots of money quickly, but were very unstable. Loans that would be considered toxic were bundled with 'good' money and sold as as CDO's or 'options', like derivatives (etc). Many of these practices were essentially fraud.

Now If you're playing fast and loose with your morals- you might also start lending to people and corporations you shouldn't, even if their financial status isn't stable enough. Considerations like this were ignored, so bad money flowed like cocaine. All of this extra cancerous money that got pumped into the economy covered up the west's slowly depleting manufacturing base, increased automation of tasks that used to require human labor and spiraling wage inequality. Several sector bubbles were generated from it (think the housing crash of 08-09, that was compounded by the financial instruments).

A good chunk of the public debt (at least here) Was accumulated by saving the economy, the rest by PFI projects and war spending (amongst other smaller things)

The leading political party of my country (New Labour bastards) made sure that the necessary deregulation occurred to make it all run smoothly. The conservatives like to position themselves as historically opposed to the frenzy of fraud and debt, but they were more than happy to accommodate all of this. They even supported the public spending of labour during these years!

The economy still functions the same now. More bad loans are given out, the traded instruments are worse than ever and most importantly nobody cares. The leading narratives don't include private debt as a problem. I think this has something to do with how democracy works. Ask yourself the question- "What would I do if I was told all these fires were my fault?" if you weren't paying attention, would you vote for the person who said that? People in my country don't care. They could have reigned in the banks, put some controls in, and/or dealt with the other problems (wage gap, etc). They let the situation get out of control and now they want cheep scapegoats.

That's the situation basically. At least the way my eyes see it. :)

To be honest, I'm not an expert when it comes to economics and finance, I took Economics in HS and relearned it on KhanAcademy. I get the gist of what you're saying. So for the most part, the problem we have is just a cycle of taking out loans and mediocre financing in all sectors. What about printing money? Isn't that a major issue as well? Doesn't that increase more debt too?
 
What about printing money? Isn't that a major issue as well? Doesn't that increase more debt too?

That's another aspect worth discussing!

Your fed (and our bank of England) have spent almost half a decade executing Q.E (qualitative easing). That's just fancy jargon for printing money and drip feeding into the economy*. If you're going to do Q.E, then you're supposed to do it in short bouts. They've been at it for 6 years, especially your fed. Those efforts we're combined with an almost 0% interest rate to get finance lending more to the 'real' economy.

What's fascinating is how none of these efforts had their intended effect. Q.E got swallowed up by the big banks. If things were peachy they would have passed it out as economic stimulus. They didn't because they need that money to protect their balance sheets from the bad debts they themselves generated (The Instruments)

The fed (and BoE) now are massively leveraged. They got nothing out of this apart from giving a few higher-ups at Bank of America a cheaper lunch :lol:

There's considerable debate about whether they meant to do that too....

(*By buying financial assets and government debt)
 
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That's another aspect worth discussing!

Your fed (and our bank of England) have spent almost half a decade executing Q.E (qualitative easing). That's just fancy jargon for printing money and drip feeding into the economy*. If you're going to do Q.E, then you're supposed to do it in short bouts. They've been at it for 6 years, especially your fed. Those efforts we're combined with an almost 0% interest rate to get finance lending more to the 'real' economy.

What's fascinating is how none of these efforts had their intended effect. Q.E got swallowed up by the big banks. If things were peachy they would have passed it out as economic stimulus. They didn't because they need that money to protect their balance sheets from the bad debts they themselves generated (The Instruments)

The fed (and BoE) now are massively leveraged. They got nothing out of this apart from giving a few higher-ups at Bank of America a cheaper lunch :lol:

There's considerable debate about whether they meant to do that too....

(*By buying financial assets and government debt)

That's another thing that should be discussed as well. Is there an equivalent of the Federal Reserve(in the U.S.) in the U.K.?
 
As an Economics major, I really need to start reading more on this. I should also look at my college notes (yes, I still have them).
 
That's another aspect worth discussing!

Your fed (and our bank of England) have spent almost half a decade executing Q.E (qualitative easing). That's just fancy jargon for printing money and drip feeding into the economy*. If you're going to do Q.E, then you're supposed to do it in short bouts. They've been at it for 6 years, especially your fed. Those efforts we're combined with an almost 0% interest rate to get finance lending more to the 'real' economy.

What's fascinating is how none of these efforts had their intended effect. Q.E got swallowed up by the big banks. If things were peachy they would have passed it out as economic stimulus. They didn't because they need that money to protect their balance sheets from the bad debts they themselves generated (The Instruments)

The fed (and BoE) now are massively leveraged. They got nothing out of this apart from giving a few higher-ups at Bank of America a cheaper lunch :lol:

There's considerable debate about whether they meant to do that too....

(*By buying financial assets and government debt)
Man you really understand this quite well. I thought of QE as giving the banks their own bailout, something that you aren't gonna see a lot of these "End the Fed" guys acknowledge at all.
 
Man you really understand this quite well.

Thank you!

I thought of QE as giving the banks their own bailout, something that you aren't gonna see a lot of these "End the Fed" guys acknowledge at all.

I sympathize with people who hate the fed. They've know allot the same shit I know and have come to the 'tear it down' conclusion. I think they're wrong on a technical level but I do understand their sentiment. The fed has basically facilitated fraud at this point. *sigh*
 
Thank you!



I sympathize with people who hate the fed. They've know allot the same shit I know and have come to the 'tear it down' conclusion. I think they're wrong on a technical level but I do understand their sentiment. The fed has basically facilitated fraud at this point. *sigh*

It's quite sad that most of these bankers are getting away with ruining the economy and stealing money while people are going to jail for using or carrying a small amount of marijuana. I'm not a drug user(mostly straight edged and drink on occasion) but this is bullshit that it's happening. Plus my kind are in jail a lot longer than non minorities are for these drug offenses.
 
It's quite sad that most of these bankers are getting away with ruining the economy and stealing money while people are going to jail for using or carrying a small amount of marijuana. I'm not a drug user(mostly straight edged and drink on occasion) but this is bullshit that it's happening. Plus my kind are in jail a lot longer than non minorities are for these drug offenses.
Speaking of that, Bank and America and others have been part of drug cartels before. Not many people in jail from that or all the insider trading and other bullshit that went on during the financial crisis. They can literally get away with murder here.
 
It's quite sad that most of these bankers are getting away with ruining the economy and stealing money while people are going to jail for using or carrying a small amount of marijuana. I'm not a drug user(mostly straight edged and drink on occasion) but this is bullshit that it's happening. Plus my kind are in jail a lot longer than non minorities are for these drug offenses.

They can literally get away with murder here.

Yeah, the situation is quite unfortunate.

The only reason finance can get away it is because our countries populace don't really know/care about it. They don't want to comprehend the depth of the fraud since they enabled it, and therefore also responsible. We've acquired a bully mentality. That's why (especially on my side of the Atlantic) we've gotten unto the habit of picking scapegoats that don't have enough franchise to challenge us.

Bottom line- We live in a market democracy. If we (the people) wanted these problems solved, they would be solved. There's not enough will sadly.

What's also unfortunate is how the fraud's a primary reasons that the 'recovery' has been slow. There's also a possibility of another crash if a certain mediterranean country defaults....
 
Yeah, the situation is quite unfortunate.

The only reason finance can get away it is because our countries populace don't really know/care about it. They don't want to comprehend the depth of the fraud since they enabled it, and therefore also responsible. We've acquired a bully mentality. That's why (especially on my side of the Atlantic) we've gotten unto the habit of picking scapegoats that don't have enough franchise to challenge us.

Bottom line- We live in a market democracy. If we (the people) wanted these problems solved, they would be solved. There's not enough will sadly.

What's also unfortunate is how the fraud's a primary reasons that the 'recovery' has been slow. There's also a possibility of another crash if a certain mediterranean country defaults....
Sort of off topic, but I'm impressed with your knowledge about these issues from a technical standpoint. Did you happen to study some kind of economics, accounting or finance or have you just done a lot of research in your spare time about this?
 
Did you happen to study some kind of economics, accounting or finance or have you just done a lot of research in your spare time about this?

I took a government and politics A level a few years back. That started the ball rolling in terms of interest and then It became a hobby after the course ended.

The whole subject's quite hard to penetrate. You may wanna do some reading yourself in case I fucked up and misunderstood something. :lol:

You can also ask me any questions and i'll try my best to answer them. :)
 
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