Official Election 2020 Doomsday Thread

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Who wins on November 3rd? (Zeitgeist, not who you're voting for)

  • Expecting a Trump win.

    Votos: 978 45.7%
  • Expecting a Biden win.

    Votos: 277 12.9%
  • Expecting no clear winner on November 3rd.

    Votos: 885 41.4%

  • Total de votantes
    2,140
  • Encuesta cerrada .
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Reportedly, Biden campaign getting totes not worried extremely worried about Florida, Pennsylvania, and Arizona

Rural voter turnout in North Carolina and Virginia is heavy, in urban areas, not so much

:thinking:
Rural voter turnout is pretty heavy in my area. I got in line to vote at 6:15 polls open at 6:30 and there was a line already around the building. By the time I left the line was twice as long.
 
Joe Biden will likely win Pennsylvania. It's rare for a presidential candidate to lose their own home state and biden is strategically from that state, a state which was almost guaranteed to go to Clinton in 2016 but surprisingly didn't.

If he fucked up so badly on the energy issue that he loses his own state then god damn.
 
Biden world superpower 2020
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His "Dad Joke the Polls" hypothesis is the most batshit delusional thing I've ever heard.

I don’t mind Scott Adams but he’s way too full of himself when he comes up with weird takes like the dad jokes thing. He says it so matter-of-fact but it’s such an odd reach.
 
Joe Biden will likely win Pennsylvania. It's rare for a presidential candidate to lose their own home state and biden is strategically from that state, a state which was almost guaranteed to go to Clinton in 2016 but surprisingly didn't.

If he fucked up so badly on the energy issue that he loses his own state then god damn.
The energy issue is massive. People aren't going to vote for a guy that puts them out of work, or a guy that puts their family members out of work.
 
Doomposters coming out of the woodworks extremely early, just like 2016. The exact trends are repeating themselves.
I have to say I went into this doomposting, but the very early information on the ground looks bad for the Biden campaign. Mail in not looking as blue as hoped, urban turnout being low, and rural turnout being extraordinarily high. It's very interesting to watch. I hope it's correct.
 
Joe Biden will likely win Pennsylvania. It's rare for a presidential candidate to lose their own home state and biden is strategically from that state, a state which was almost guaranteed to go to Clinton in 2016 but surprisingly didn't.
He's also done everything possible to alienate that state, flip flopping on fracking, getting up in union worker's faces, ect.

Give me all the :optimistic:s you want but it could still go red.
 
Joe Biden will likely win Pennsylvania. It's rare for a presidential candidate to lose their own home state and biden is strategically from that state, a state which was almost guaranteed to go to Clinton in 2016 but surprisingly didn't.

If he fucked up so badly on the energy issue that he loses his own state then god damn.

100% hangs on youth turnout. Outside of Philly/Pitt, dude's support is anemic - one road trip around shows you a sea of Trump signs above even what 2016 did. And Philly -did- (is?) just have those rolling riots, which could depress turnout -- it's definitely in play, though favors Biden above the standard deviation he's got as a bulwark in the sunbelt states.
 
Joe Biden will likely win Pennsylvania. It's rare for a presidential candidate to lose their own home state and biden is strategically from that state, a state which was almost guaranteed to go to Clinton in 2016 but surprisingly didn't.

If he fucked up so badly on the energy issue that he loses his own state then god damn.
Mitt Romney lost Massachusetts and he was governor of that state for a few years.
 
I would say it's going to be fun to see Scott Adams eat crow, but he seems to have backed off his hard prediction of a Trump win (at least, that's that I took from the first half of this morning's broadcast).

His "Dad Joke the Polls" hypothesis is the most batshit delusional thing I've ever heard.
I think people do purposefully lie to pollsters. But the question is how significant is it?
 
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