US Nvidia storms past $5 trillion valuation as AI boom powers meteoric rise - Those GPUs must be churning out gold.(Or this is immensly overvalued) Take a guess

Oct 29 (Reuters) - Nvidia made history on Wednesday as the first company to reach $5 trillion in market value, powered by a stunning rally that has cemented its place at the center of the global artificial intelligence boom.
The milestone underscores the company's swift transformation from a niche graphics-chip designer into the backbone of the global AI industry, turning CEO Jensen Huang into a Silicon Valley icon and making its advanced chips a flashpoint in the tech rivalry between the U.S. and China.

Since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022, Nvidia's shares have climbed 12-fold as the AI frenzy propelled the S&P 500 to record highs, igniting a debate on whether frothy tech valuations could lead to the next big bubble.

The new milestone, coming just three months after Nvidia breached the $4 trillion mark, would surpass the total cryptocurrency market value and equal roughly half the size of Europe's benchmark equities index, the Stoxx 600 index.
"Nvidia hitting a $5 trillion market cap is more than a milestone; it's a statement, as Nvidia has gone from chip maker to industry creator," said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, which holds shares in the company.

"The market continues to underestimate the scale of the opportunity, and Nvidia remains one of the best ways to play the AI theme."

Shares of the Santa Clara, California-based company rose 4.6% after a string of recent announcements solidified its dominance in the AI race.

Huang unveiled $500 billion in AI chip orders on Tuesday and said he plans to build seven supercomputers for the U.S. government.
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump is expected to discuss Nvidia's Blackwell chip with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday. Sales of the high-end chip have been a key sticking point between the two sides due to Washington's export controls.
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STOCK SURGE BOOSTS HUANG'S WEALTH​

At current prices, CEO Huang's stake in Nvidia would be worth about $179.2 billion, according to regulatory filings and Reuters calculations. He is the world's eighth-richest person, per Forbes' billionaire list.

Born in Taiwan and raised in the United States from age nine, Huang has led Nvidia since founding it in 1993. Under his leadership, the company's H100 and Blackwell processors have become the engines behind large-language models powering tools such as ChatGPT and Elon Musk's xAI.
While Nvidia remains the clear front-runner in the AI race, Big Tech peers such as Apple and Microsoft
have also crossed $4 trillion in market value in recent months.
Analysts say the rally reflects investor confidence in unrelenting AI spending, though some warn valuations may be running hot.

"AI's current expansion relies on a few dominant players financing each other's capacity. The moment investors start demanding cash-flow returns instead of capacity announcements, some of these flywheels could seize," said Matthew Tuttle, CEO of Tuttle Capital Management.

Tech companies' heavy weightage in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gives them broad influence over global markets.

Nvidia is due to report quarterly results on November 19.
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GEOPOLITICAL BARGAINING CHIP​

The company's dominance has drawn global regulatory scrutiny, with U.S. export curbs on advanced chips making it a key pawn in Washington's strategy to limit China's access to AI technology.

"Nvidia clearly brought their story to D.C. to both educate and gain favor with the U.S. government," said Bob O'Donnell of TECHnalysis Research. "They managed to hit most of the hottest and most influential topics in tech."

The developer conference on Tuesday also served as a platform for Huang to walk a geopolitical tightrope.

He praised Trump's "America First" policies for accelerating domestic tech investment, while warning that excluding China from Nvidia's ecosystem could limit U.S. access to half of the world's AI developers.

Rivals including Advanced Micro Devices and several well-funded startups are seeking to challenge Nvidia's dominance in high-end AI chips, but it remains the industry's top choice.
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L /A
 
I'm sure this AI boom is not at all a bubble and will never burst.


Now please excuse me while I fortify my shack in the woods and stock up on nonperishables/ammo.
 
Well they are selling the shovels in a mining craze...

If that were the case, it would be better. But these companies are on both sides of every deal. They are selling the shovels and lending money to their "customers" to buy the shovels from them. Just about everything around AI involves circular financing between the vendor and the customer. Everyone is on both sides of every deal and its financially impossible to see where one of these companies starts and the other companies end.

And what being on both sides means in practical terms is that eventually all these companies are going to have to do write-downs of assets. Its only a question of when. Alot of things around AI and these companies is fantasy. But they are burning real cash and not making much revenue. And that cash isn't coming from outsider sources.

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The other warning that should be made is that while S&P 500 index funds used to be safe diversified investments, that is no longer at all the case. Those funds are heavily weighted into less then 10 AI risky stocks. Lots of passive investors are in for a real shock if or when there is a correction.
 
Everything on the stock market is massively overvalued. It's based on absolutely fuck all, other than the mindset that the number must rise no matter the cost.

I can't wait for the crash personally.
 
They are selling the shovels and lending money to their "customers" to buy the shovels from them. Just about everything around AI involves circular financing between the vendor and the customer. Everyone is on both sides of every deal and its financially impossible to see where one of these companies starts and the other companies end.
I liked when nvidia said they where investing 100 billion in openai then a month later openai said they're taking a 10% stake in AMD which caused AMD to pop by 40%.

The other warning that should be made is that while S&P 500 index funds used to be safe diversified investments, that is no longer at all the case. Those funds are heavily weighted into less then 10 AI risky stocks. Lots of passive investors are in for a real shock if or when there is a correction.

Yup the stock market is essentially a handful of AI names trading back and forth.
 
Nvidia never ever making a good customer card ever again.
I really doubt it. When the market crashes and they've got an ungodly amount of TSMC time contracted for chips that they can no longer sell to AI companies for astronomical margins, they'll come crawling back to the consumer market.

When it will happen is anyone's guess, though.
 
I really doubt it. When the market crashes and they've got an ungodly amount of TSMC time contracted for chips that they can no longer sell to AI companies for astronomical margins, they'll come crawling back to the consumer market.

When it will happen is anyone's guess, though.
The only hope is LLMs getting less picky. I know DeepSeek has been recalibrated to work off ARM architecture to work around the sale bans. And with how good Intel is for value I expect drivers to improve.
 
I get why nvidia was going up when it had the market by the balls (seriously, try getting any local AI stuff working on an AMD GPU and you'll see...) but it got banned from the 2nd biggest market, China, which at the same time its developing its own GPUs and accelerators which AFAIK they are planning to export.

Is this the musical chairs right before the music stops?
 
Última edición:
And what being on both sides means in practical terms is that eventually all these companies are going to have to do write-downs of assets. Its only a question of when. Alot of things around AI and these companies is fantasy. But they are burning real cash and not making much revenue. And that cash isn't coming from outsider sources.
some of them have the cash to burn. the real weakspot is the people running all the serverfarms. Oracle is soooo fucked.
 
That part probably isn't relevant. Those chip fabs are so advanced it would take China years and years to catch up, even if there were no trade restrictions and they could buy all the necessary expertise.
After seeing chinese cars by myself I gotta say the era when we could say "china is far behind" its over, and if they were I doubt the ccp which is leading in AI software would self-sabotage everything for AI hardware they don't have.

Clearly they have something...
 
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