You’re missing the blatant violation of Russia’s agreement made with the Budapest Memorandum. The US and UK signed strong security assurances along with Russia to have Ukraine give up it’s nuclear weapons in exchange for guarantees that Ukraine will have its sovereignty and 1994 borders respected.
Budapest has been dead since 2014 and the annexation of the Crimea. Usa and UK are as much in blatant violation of that by doing nothing as Russia is for the annexation. UK and USA decided nearly a decade ago that they're not getting involved.
Poland and Turkey I think are also okay I think and against Russia.
Poland in 2020 wargamed a "near east belligerent" invasion through the Suvalki Gap, a piece of land where Kaliningrad, Lithuania, Poland and Belarus meet.
Blue team was tasked with holding aggressors east of the Vistula for 22 days, falling back in two stages from border to the r. Narew and then the r. Bug, a period it was assumed it would take to get NATO armour deployed.
Instead, red team were at the Vistula by day 3, encircling the capital Warsaw in day 4 and had completed the destruction of 80% of materiel and personnel by day 5.
In other words, Poland is fucked in a hot war. I doubt it'll come to that though.
Turkey is interesting not because I think they'll end up in a shooting war with Russia but because they're at the forefront of spreading drone tech. They were getting the short shrift from USA on the tech so decided to build their own and they're doing a decent job of it. It was Turkish and Israeli drones that won Nagarno-Kharabakh for Azerbaijan recently and while the more high tech drones, loitering kamikazes and swarms etc, were Israeli the Turkish have similar options available.
Oh and they're building a factory to make them with the Ukrainians in kyiv. Ukrainian engines, Turkish electronics and weapon systems apparently