Is Illinois a swing state this year? Here's everything you need to know

Is Illinois a swing state this year? Here's everything you need to know​

Following the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, where a large focus was on campaigning strategies in swing states, a number of people have searched online to figure out if Illinois is a swing state.​

Published August 23, 2024 • Updated on August 23, 2024 at 8:29 pm​


As Democrats and Republicans try to attract voters ahead of the November presidential election, both party's nominees are focusing on campaigning in a handful of states, known as swing states.

A swing state is one where both parties have similar levels of support and could play a key role in the outcome of a presidential election, according to the Merriam-Webster dictionary. Swing states, also called battleground states, are divided politically and often the sites of frequent campaign rallies and targets of advertisements.

“In most states, the outcome in a two-person contest is going to be clear, and the campaign will take it for granted,” Alex Keyssar, a history professor at Harvard University, told share.america.gov, the U.S. Department of State website.

In “the swing states, that’s not true," he said.

Following the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, where a large focus was on campaigning strategies in swing states, a number of people have searched online to figure out if Illinois is a swing state.

While the swing states do change over time, Illinois hasn't been one in recent decades.

When it comes to presidential elections, Illinois has voted Democratic in the eight elections since 1988. However, in 1988 and the five presidential elections prior, Illinois voted Republican.

This time around, the candidates are focused on seven swing states, including two in the Midwest - Michigan and Wisconsin, according to the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia's, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan newsletter. The other states are Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona.

Each of these seven states were decided by 3 points or less in the 2020 presidential election, and six of them - except North Carolina - were won by President Biden. The results were much different in 2016, however.

Six of the aforementioned states - excluding Nevada - were won by Trump, helping him clinch the presidency.

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:optimistic::optimistic::optimistic:
Rate me optimistic but the democrats only win Illinois all the time because of Cook County. Cook County decides everything. People in Cook County happen to be talking more about Trump lately and if a few are talking, how many are staying silent because they don't want confrontation with friends/family/coworkers? How many people near the convention center are fucking pissed about not being able to park or use their streets? Or happen to see the migrants all whisked away for the royal democrats to arrive but not for the people who live there? Kiwis, I have heard Black people praising Trump. Not a lot of them, but enough to be a problem for dems, because only the outspoken people are voicing what many are thinking. I've heard many more people complain about the other problems democrat leadership has caused without outright denouncing the party, but I'm really hoping people are waking up at least a little.

If any of you Kiwis live in Crook, oops I mean Cook County, you better get your ass out and vote. Even if it doesn't go to Trump, vote for the local stuff and show the dems there are people willing to vote against them so they maybe fucking try a little.
Press 'em Kiwis.
Roll up.
 
No. Lived in Illinois growing up. Unless Chiraq has a change of heart, it's not happening. They don't cheat in Illinois because the Chicago vote is just that fucking massive. Everyone else gets fucked. Chicago will vote democrat and that will be that.
 
Obama and the fat sausage eating governor's homeland is going to be a swing state? That's a bunch of malarky.
 
When it comes to presidential elections, Illinois has voted Democratic in the eight elections since 1988.
In a lot of ways the 1988 election was in hindsight the first modern American election. Before then there was no red states or blue states and any state was in play. It was once possible for republican could win California or a democrat could win Montana. That was the election that began the outlines of the divide in the country not because of events that took place but in hindsight.
 
The darkies I talked to there were all dickriding Trump before Biden pulled out because all they care about is braggadocio, posturing and cult of personality, and personally I can't see the males acquiescing to vote for a woman, if they vote at all. It's the imposter syndrome "middle class" whites who buy the white guilt shit and their jew handlers who vote progressive, along with the immigrants they funnel in.

Still won't make a difference, but know your enemy.
 
No its because I lived there. Chicago has voted democrat for over 100 years. And its population has only grown. The state is not flipping for Trump.
It may still be big enough to dominate the rest of the state, but its population has not grown. In 2020 it was back to its 1920 population, and it appears it has lost >100,000 residents post-Floydmas:


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It may still be big enough to dominate the rest of the state, but its population has not grown. In 2020 it was back to its 1920 population, and it appears it has lost >100,000 residents post-Floydmas:
That's just the City of Chicago, which has defined boundaries. There's a bunch of municipalities in Cook County there that have and will go for blue every time.
 
It may still be big enough to dominate the rest of the state, but its population has not grown. In 2020 it was back to its 1920 population, and it appears it has lost >100,000 residents post-Floydmas:


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Illinois as a whole has been on a downswing. There is a reason I moved from Illinois to Utah. It is a fucking dump. It takes twice as long as any other state just to build a road or even fill a pothole. Floyd really didn't knock it that much. It was already in a slump. The fact remains Chiraq is massive and dominates the election every single time. Unless you have people MOVE IN en masse to the country side, which isn't happening, there isn't any jobs, then no, there is a 0% chance that Illinois flips.
 
Illinois as a whole has been on a downswing. There is a reason I moved from Illinois to Utah. It is a fucking dump. It takes twice as long as any other state just to build a road or even fill a pothole. Floyd really didn't knock it that much. It was already in a slump. The fact remains Chiraq is massive and dominates the election every single time. Unless you have people MOVE IN en masse to the country side, which isn't happening, there isn't any jobs, then no, there is a 0% chance that Illinois flips.
How are the mormons in utah like
 
I mean I am one lol. Different than Illinois mormons but also similar. Utah in general is better run, has more mountains, your vote actually matters, the roads get fixed on time...
I heard there are several different mormon church the lds and the rlds along with the flds which branch do you belong to. I remember hearing the rlds were the ones in illionois
 
Not anytime soon. This cycle we have a grand total of one (1) remotely competitive race for a federal position, and Democratic incumbent Eric Sorenson in IL-17 likely isn't losing this cycle unless Trump manages to unleash a yuuge red tsunami.
At least Kizinger fucked off last cycle.
 
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