It's because of what other people here already said. Nobody wants to shit on Eric July too hard while the crack pack is doing and encouraging outright illegal shit to fuck with him. That's where we're at now.
And in case you missed it, FROG came back in here just to make a PA request. That also kills the mood. He found no takers, and it wasn't from want of EJ critics.
Cow on cow shit flinging is nothing new, but Dax and co. taken have taken it way too far. Too far for a guy who doesn't have a thread, and won't be getting one any time soon if Dax keeps going. When somebody tried to give him a thread, it was like 90% Dax's gay bullshit, and only further hardened people against giving him shit.
My feeling on this is if it was JUST EVS, there'd be no problem. So I don't think it's people fearful that a July L means an EVS W, like you suggest. I think it's people that don't want to reward or further a shitty (and at times, unlawful) off-site harassment campaign. It goes against the ethos of the Farms.
EDIT: Dax is known to prowl the Farms. Looking for shit to screencap (often out of context) and use against his enemies.