Canada is a failed state

[y a t s]

I can't tell what's happening in the second clip, what's the shirtless jeet yelling about?

I hear

You said to me 17, again said to me 19. Why you tell me lie? [...]

I couldn't quite catch the last bit, but I am guessing they were giving him the run-around on moving rates. If so, I'd be pissed too; just more articulate.

 

[Prehistoric Jazz]

maybe tax wasnt mentioned?

 

[wry wrangler]

The Liberals lost another seat in a by-election. This one was lost to the Bloc, who are even more parasitic group of froggy bastards, but it's the second or third "safe seat" lost in a row.

Wouldn't it be hilarious if the Liberals fall so far that the Bloc becomes the Official Opposition, like in 1993 when the PCs got virtually wiped out?

 

[y a t s]

I hear

I couldn't quite catch the last bit, but I am guessing they were giving him the run-around on moving rates. If so, I'd be pissed too; just more articulate.

I put my industry-grade audio restoration software to good use. You can hear the guys much better now. I have 2 speeds, both processed the same before any time stretching.
Original speed:

1.15x speed:

I'll try to transcribe it sometime after MATI.

 

[Lobster Cult High Priest]

I can't tell what's happening in the second clip, what's the shirtless jeet yelling about?

looks like he doesn't want white college kids moving in next door?

 

[Jetpack Himmler]

"Can Trudy read that writing?'

No. Trudeau made it clear that he was not going anywhere before the by-elections because he desperately wants to battle Poilievre in a general election. His response to said by-elections to day was some platitudes about Canadians being "more engaged", which sounded more like he was placing the blame on the voters. Similarly, his cabinet has been trying to downplay it with claims that it was never a safe seat and that they need to "better communicate" with Canadians so that they can better understand what the party has done for Canadians. They have slipped further into delusion and are doubling down on their failures.

 

[Betonhaus]

The Liberals lost another seat in a by-election. This one was lost to the Bloc, who are even more parasitic group of froggy bastards, but it's the second or third "safe seat" lost in a row.

how many by-elections have they won? is it possible they will lose every seat in a general election?

I think there was something about next week the Conservatives being able to force a confidence vote, what happens if the NDP realizes they could gain seats in a general election?

 

[Baraka Obama]

is it possible they will lose every seat in a general election?

Statistically improbable but Kim Campbell led the PCs down to just 2 seats in 1993.

These days there are a lot of 3 and 4 way ties broken by small percentages in Quebec, might as well be a dice roll who wins, so they'll pick up a few of those plus Vanier, Cape Breton, and a few forever Liberal party searts.

what happens if the NDP realizes they could gain seats in a general election?

It looks like they will lose seats from the models I've seen but they may be likely to scoop a few more seats in downtown cores and become incumbents next time around. The long term goal for the NDP is to replace the liberal party but they are a perma-protest party and it will never happen.

 

[wry wrangler]

There are enough Truanons and members of the federal service that Trudeau has greatly expanded that will prevent a total, Kim Campbell-style implosion for the Liberals. The most we can hope for is they get reduced to 20-30 seats and knocked down to third party status again. I'd like to be proven wrong but there are just too many idiots who genuinely believe Trudeau's done a good job as PM to inspire any belief. Not that it matters, since the Poilievre Conservatives aren't any better.

 

[Baraka Obama]

There are enough Truanons and members of the federal service that Trudeau has greatly expanded that will prevent a total, Kim Campbell-style implosion for the Liberals. The most we can hope for is they get reduced to 20-30 seats and knocked down to third party status again. I'd like to be proven wrong but there are just too many idiots who genuinely believe Trudeau's done a good job as PM to inspire any belief. Not that it matters, since the Poilievre Conservatives aren't any better.

Campbell still got 16% of the vote.

 

[wry wrangler]

Maybe it's just the chronic depression talking, but I'm not really inclined to be so optimistic. I'd love to be proven wrong, though.

 

[Alex Hogendorp]

From what I could tell, Prostitution and Drug Abuse within Children are more widespread in Alberta than I thought. Parent's seem to give less of a shit that this kind of shit even happens in the first place. I did a bit more research and it turns out Human Trafficking including those involving children has also been increasing in Alberta.

 

[Lobster Cult High Priest]

There are enough Truanons and members of the federal service that Trudeau has greatly expanded that will prevent a total, Kim Campbell-style implosion for the Liberals. The most we can hope for is they get reduced to 20-30 seats and knocked down to third party status again. I'd like to be proven wrong but there are just too many idiots who genuinely believe Trudeau's done a good job as PM to inspire any belief. Not that it matters, since the Poilievre Conservatives aren't any better.

Heck I might consider voting Trudeau because I don't want everyone going back to sleep under Pierre.

Other option is writing in the Bloc Quebecois from Southern Ontario

 

[Betonhaus]

Heck I might consider voting Trudeau because I don't want everyone going back to sleep under Pierre.

Other option is writing in the Bloc Quebecois from Southern Ontario

We're not going to have a snap election Trudeau has somehow convinced the Bloc that he will work with them, and not yeet them to the curb or ghost them the moment he survives the confidence vote.

 

[wry wrangler]

I have to admit, the Bloc propping up the Trudeau Liberals was not on my bingo card. They have more to gain in Quebec from an election than any other party, even including the Conservatives. Then again, when the Conservatives win their inevitable majority, all opposition parties will become irrelevant for at least four years, so it may be in their interest to exert whatever influence they can for as long as they can.

 

[y a t s]

Fuck Quebec. Fuck the French.

That is all.

 

[deepFriedBaka]

Campbell still got 16% of the vote.

Which, under a PR d'Hondt system, would have given the PCs 49 seats instead of just 2. So they would still have lost big, but it wouldn't have been a total annihilation. (See below)

Ironically, Trudeau might have felt better about the upcoming election if he managed to ram through proportional representation, because doing so would almost certainly benefit him - and the smaller parties. (I compared the 1993 and 2021 elections below.)

Spoiler: Elections "under PR"

1993 (source)

• LPC (42.86%): 127
• Reform (19.42%): 57
• PC (16.59%): 49
• BQ (14.01%): 41
• NDP (7.13%): 21

Votes 13179210 of 19906796 (33.80% abstention).
The next party to obtain a seat would be Reform instead of LPC for 20135 votes.

2021 (no source, but you can go here)

• CPC (34.05%): 115
• LPC (32.92%): 112
• NDP (17.99%): 61
• BQ (7.71%): 26
• PPC (4.98%): 16
• Green (2.35%): 8

Votes 16879985 of 17209811 (1.92% abstention).
The next party to obtain a seat would be PPC instead of LPC for 2424 votes.

Note that my calculations set "spoiled and blank votes" to zero. I suppose if I really wanted to, I could be more specific. But why bother?

 

[troonigification]

Just when you think you've seen it all BC has created rooms just to smoke fentanyl and meth in.

https://globalnews.ca/news/10762210/1st-supervised-indoor-inhalation-site-vancouver-drug-users/

The tolerance of and outright encouragement of degeneracy in Western countries has become absolutely unbearable.

Just think of how Canada's failed state socialist healthcare system operates with fixed funds where they are making decisions on what to prioritize and instead of treating cancer in the young they choose to allocate capital to junkies killing themselves.

They should just remodel the smoking rooms to vent in helium and lock the doors.

 

[Betonhaus]

I have to admit, the Bloc propping up the Trudeau Liberals was not on my bingo card. They have more to gain in Quebec from an election than any other party, even including the Conservatives. Then again, when the Conservatives win their inevitable majority, all opposition parties will become irrelevant for at least four years, so it may be in their interest to exert whatever influence they can for as long as they can.

I'd laugh if the Bloc are planning to hoodwink Trudeau by making him think he'll win the no confidence vote, so they pick up more seats in the snap election without Trudeau resorting to other tricks.

Also I'd like to believe that some Liberals would choose to vote for no confidence and save their home country

 

[Prehistoric Jazz]

The government will never work towards your wellbeing when they can accrue power or maintain control. Given the choice between making things better for people and staying in charge, you know what they'll focus on. After all, "How can I fix things if I'm not directing our goals and resources?".

I'm starting to think, more and more, that leading the country should be a short term thing, performed by a larger pool of people. Maybe a random selection process, among people meeting a specific standard (a level of education or experience), and those selected get a turn for a short time while determining what needs to be worked on, and focus is placed on responsibility and accountability rather than popularity and largesse. If results were what mattered, Trudeau would've been bounced out on his ass a year or 3 in.