2024 U.S. Presidential and State election thread - I'm gonna... I'm gonna... VOOT!!! I'm VOOOOOTING!!!

[GameratePTSD]

This thread overestimates Trump's support. I live in the suburbs near a city and often travel to the rural areas. The only place I see Trump signs are in the rural areas and even those have sprinklings of Kamala signs. The Trump signs are usually the most grandiose but who cares about one big Trump sign for every ten Kamala signs.

Republicans should've replaced Trump when the sentiment of "I don't want to vote for Trump or Biden" became widespread. If Trump truly wanted to win he would've stepped aside and given his endorsement to someone but he likely doesn't trust anyone to patdon him. Democrats seized it and are poised to win.

Trump isn't a fascist but we've lived without him for four years. Four years ago we were locked up due to a pandemic. I don't blame Trump for that but it's hard to gauge how good things were back then when that was the major thing going on.

Don't go too schizo when he loses, you still have a life to live outside politics.

Retarded take. Whether or not you think he'll win (he will) to say they should have put a dork up like Marco Rubio or Ron Desantis or Nikki Haley is ridiculous. He was absolutely the correct choice, the energy behind him is evident and things like the assassination attempt show he has the Mandate of Heaven.
Your grandchildren and great grandchildren will judge you harshly for voting against poor little Peanut and the Springfield kitties in support of nigger cookieclicker immigration and transsexual child predators.

 

[LurkTrawl]

I think we should actually do the camps this time

Fat camps. Put RFK Jr in charge of them.

We'll fix the replacement rate crisis by making everyone fit.

Don't go too schizo when he loses, you still have a life to live outside politics.

Right. Kamala couldn't even win her primary against Joe Biden. She was the literal least popular candidate in 2020.

If she "wins", politics is going to be outside life from now on. She didn't win a primary this time, either. Nobody is going to believe the woman who lost to Biden, won against Trump.

 

[Burnt Effigy]

Cross-Pooooosting from USPG, as some people here probably don't read it.

[For Kamala]

The only reason why Kamala would cancel on Michigan to go on SNL (of all things) is because their internal polls most likely indicate Michigan is not worth touching, my best guess would be the RCP No-Toss-Ups map is closest to what they have.

The only reason why she would focus her last 3 rallies on Pennsylvania is if their internal polls indicate PA is a close enough swing state, which is key enough to win the election.

With such desperation, the only way she wins is by edging out the electoral vote.

My best guess is, they're going for this, the RCP NTU map with Pennsylvania flipped (Highlighted in dark blue here)



Based on this tweet:

https://xcancel.com/JackPosobiec/status/1853051319843512384 / https://archive.is/bBJQB



[For Trump]



We have 3 rallies in North Carolina, 3 in Pennsylvania, and then one each in Virginia, Georgia, and Michigan.

What does RCP tell us?


Trump's strategy seems to be to capture NC and PA, and throw a bone to MI, VA and GA to hopefully get a last minute sway.
Even if he loses MI, VA, and GA, he's still at 271 EVs. He's clearly in a much better position than Kamala, even if he loses a few of the toss-up states.

For reference, this is the current state of RCP NTU

Pennsylvania	North Carolina	Virginia	Georgia	Michigan	EVs
​	​	​	​	​	287​

Here's a bunch of tables of all the important combinations from his last rallies, assuming RCP NTU is correct otherwise.

Pennsylvania	North Carolina	Virginia	Georgia	Michigan	EVs
​	​	​	​	​	255​
​	​	​	​	​	271​
					268​
​	​	​	​	​	271​
​	​	​	​	​	270​

Any win in Pennsylvania with any other state, except for Virginia, is a win.

Pennsylvania	North Carolina	Virginia	Georgia	Michigan	EVs
​	​	​	​	​	280​
​	​	​	​	​	283​
​	​	​	​	​	280​
​	​	​	​	​	281​

Without Pennsylvania, any combination of three states makes him win.

 

[O Puffers Where Art Thou?]

Something is rotten in the state of Wyoming...

But enough about Cobra's dental appointments.

EDIT: Trump has never been doing so well in the polls on the eve of election. Given that, just don't see how he loses.

 

[MrJokerRager]

EDIT: Trump has never been doing so well in the polls on the eve of election. Given that, just don't see how he loses.

Unless the Democrats are going for some high IQ reverse psychology play.

This is the first time that he is leading.

And he overperformed in 2020 compared to those polls and 2016 was a win.

 

[Sexual Chocolate]

Avenge him, brothers!

 

[Smar Mijou]

You'd think so, but a lot of states have laws requiring that the count of advance ballots not begin until polls close on election day.

Here is a list that won't count until 8 PM on Election day or later:

Alabama, Alaska, D.C., Idaho, Illinois, Maine, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New York, North Dakota, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Washington

https://ballotpedia.org/When_states_can_begin_processing_and_counting_absentee/mail-in_ballots,_2024

I agree with the reasoning behind their thinking, of not wanting to influence any elections by releasing preliminary numbers, but the fact that they have specific laws against not even counting the ballots until the close of the polls is fucking retarded. Early voting and counting should absolutely be allowed and done beforehand, but kept secret until normal election ballots are started, and tallied in with those. Something like "Pennsylvania election numbers are so far ××,××× for Trump and ××,××× for Kamala. With ××% of the numbers being from early/absentee voting.

 

[2020chan]

That news is not an April's Fool joke and sorry if it was already posted elsewhere but Richard Spencer endorses Kamala.

https://nypost.com/2024/11/02/us-news/prominent-white-supremacist-richard-spencer-endorses-kamala-harris/

https://ghostarchive.org/archive/2c1gh

https://archive.ph/I7y7l

When I saw this, along with Nick Fuentes calling Trump supporters Nazis, I knew then that we are in a post dimensional merge timeline.
Oh democrats, I totally thought you were all retarded until you got endorsements from Dick and Liz Cheney, Nick Fuentes, Richard Spencer, every celebrity that went to Diddy's parties, every furry, tranny, zoophile, "MAP" on twitter and every annoying loud mouth cart riding fat bitch that gets in my way at the grocery store. Now I am eager to vote against all of my best interests and become one of the "unhoused" to save democracy.

They are so fucking desperate.

I agree with the reasoning behind their thinking, of not wanting to influence any elections by releasing preliminary numbers, but the fact that they have specific laws against not even counting the ballots until the close of the polls is fucking retarded. Early voting and counting should absolutely be allowed and done beforehand, but kept secret until normal election ballots are started, and tallied in with those. Something like "Pennsylvania election numbers are so far ××,××× for Trump and ××,××× for Kamala. With ××% of the numbers being from early/absentee voting.

I don't know if that's a good idea. Who exactly has access to the ballots and is trusted to count them? Because in my county, I wouldn't trust a single one of these election workers to not sound the alarms of how many more votes they'll need to "fortify" the election. It sounds stupid to wait and count them after, until you take a look at the people manning the polling places. It would only make cheating easier.

 

[Super-Chevy454]

Ver archivo adjunto 6595274



Unless the Democrats are going for some high IQ reverse psychology play.

This is the first time that he is leading.

And he overperformed in 2020 compared to those polls and 2016 was a win.

Ask to your wife if she'll be ready to become a cat lady.

Btw, the guys of ZeroHedge did a rant about Kamala's cameo on SNL. https://ghostarchive.org/archive/Ep1uN

 

[Vyse Inglebard]

Btw, the guys of ZeroHedge did a rant about Kamala's cameo on SNL. https://ghostarchive.org/archive/Ep1uN

can't wait for them to get a slap on the wrist, at most

 

[porkWellington]

Retarded take. Whether or not you think he'll win (he will) to say they should have put a dork up like Marco Rubio or Ron Desantis or Nikki Haley is ridiculous. He was absolutely the correct choice, the energy behind him is evident and things like the assassination attempt show he has the Mandate of Heaven.
Your grandchildren and great grandchildren will judge you harshly for voting against poor little Peanut and the Springfield kitties in support of nigger cookieclicker immigration and transsexual child predators.

If Trump wins in 4 years he'll be out then the next neolib who gets in will undo anything he does that's remotely a threat to whatever long term goals they have. If Kamala provided Trump a pardon he'd have dropped out.

 

[Battlefield2142EU]

If Kamala wins, a good chunk of the country will think they just defeated Hitler and save the country from becoming the Fourth Reich. Which probably won't be helped by Trump disputing the election.

And thinks israel the new super Nazis will backfired on the Jewish community in America that encouraged the narrative in the first place. No matter if kamala or trump wins. The left will continue to openly hate Jews in America and praise Palestine. It’s all the anti-Trump Jews fault in the first place.

 

[MrJokerRager]

It’s all the anti-Trump Jews fault in the first place.

Anti Trump Jews having control over anything, is a mistake.

And should have been left back in the old USSR.

Never imported.

 

[Battlefield2142EU]

Anti Trump Jews having control over anything, is a mistake.

It’s no secret Israeli Jews hate American Jews. Israelis hate goys but they know Trump the Jews best champion. What we are seeing now is American Jews that believe theirs propaganda fighting traditional zionist israeli Jews.

 

[Samhain]

You can expect a lot of sketchy shit going on with the voting. I'm guessing Wednesday morning will roll around and we still might not know the final counts of at least a couple swing states, especially if the results that are available by 3 AM are putting Trump close to a win. The dems will pull the same shit they did in 2020, and will probably be even more blatant about it than that time.

 

[Blewberry Nausea]

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Damn, Liz Cheney with the Trump endorsement! That wasn't on my bingo card...

I mean Trump’s own VP literally called him Hitler. Elon didn’t like him much either. Neither did Ted Cruz, Kemp, half his former administration, his old VP, etc. etc. Surprise politicians are fickle fags. Oh wait that’s the opposite of surprising.

 

[Neil]

Honestly, I just don't see how Harris can win (fairly).

The Biden administration has been a complete fiasco for 4 years, and she has that stink all over her as the VP. It doesn't help that the more she speaks, the less people like her.

All she has to run on is "Trump Bad" and right now, Trump is the most likable he has ever been with his recent PR stunts, the assassination attempt and historical photo of the fall out, and the Rogan interview. The "Trump Bad" mantra is nowhere near as strong as it has in year's past. So much so, that more and more notable people (Jake Paul, Nick Bosa) feel comfortable just openly endorsing him, when that would have never happened even a year ago.

This is your brain on internet politics. It's so funny how easy it is to flip this and make it true for people who live off Twitter and /pol/ (aka the majority of the voterbase):
"Honestly, I just don't see how Trump can win (logically).

The Trump administration and every minute of his life after was a complete fiasco for 8 years, and he still has that stink all over him as he faces criminal prosecution for his actions after losing the last election. It doesn't help that the more he and his associates (Laura Loomer, Tony Hinchcliffe, JD Vance) speak, the less people like them.

All he has to run on is "Woman Bad" and right now, Kamala is the most likable she has ever been with her picking Tim Walz over Josh Shapiro, taking the reigns from Biden and historical photo of the fall out, and the Rogan interview. The "Woman Bad" mantra is nowhere near as strong as it was in 2016 with Hillary Clinton. So much so, that more and more notable celebrities (Taylor Swift, Beyonce, Lebron James, Harrison Ford, Jimmy Carter, Smokey Robinson, Julia Roberts, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Robert Downey Jr.),Republican politicians and Trump Administration staff (Adam Kissinger, Liz Cheney, Dick Cheney, Stephanie Grisham, Olivia Troye, Arnold Schwarzenegger), as well as 17 members of the Reagan Administration staff feel comfortable just openly endorsing her, when that would have never happened even a year ago."

Using either of the Paul brothers as an example of a powerful (or worthwhile) endorsement is some premium cope.

They have no energy. The whole JOY thing lasted what, a week? You look at any Democrat gathering and it's grey-haired fat old people as far as the eye can see.

You can't be serious.

 

[porkWellington]

Signs I've seen that Trump's winning:

Memes
Schizo-posting extrapolating polls which are already unreliable
"Trump trolled the libs by being a garbage man"

Signs I've seen Kamala's winning:

A shit ton more yard signs from people who likely vote.

The celebrity endorsements and blatant favoritism from TV repulse me from her, but those yard signs tell me more people intend on voting for her. Memes about dead squirrels are funny but those don't win elections. Meme magic was never real. The cope on this site about "muh country" is going to be delicious on Wednesday

 

[cybertoaster]

Lol that's ANY border state and any area with enough Hispanics

Maybe but Florida its particularly colonized, tho fortunately its not all mexicans which together with those of other countries like el Salvador, Honduras and Venezuela are among the lowest of the low in LATAM. Florida got a lot of latino expats that had to flee due to commies so you get a lot of middle class educated people who follow the law and assimilate as best they can, cubans for example used to be pretty well regarded until castro decided to open the jails and let all the scum from his commie regime flood the borders.

You can tell which part of Florida get the good latinos because its not shit and they learn proper english.

We need to put all the Mexicans back the fuck where they came from or so help us lol.

Bro you're like 30 years too late, parts of Texas are basically 'Mexico 2' now.

Ver archivo adjunto 6591025

And some still say "the uniparty" is a meme...

 

[Nicholas II of Russia]

Good luck America, you're seriously gonna need it.