I've come to the conclusion that the US has the following options
1) Allow Biden to take power. In that case, the 2024 election will make the 2020 election look sane because a regime that gained power via ballot stuffing has no incentive to minimize ballot stuffing and every incentive to maximize it. This path leads to authoritarianism if people accept that elections will just be rigged for the Democrats and there's nothing they can do about that or civil war if they do not.
2) Trump crosses the Rubicon. The problem is that at that point you're headed for authoritarianism or civil war unless you have faith in Trump being some noble figure who will fix the Republic and then retire. I do not. Also if this fails you end up with 1) and probably an even faster descent into authoritarianism and/or civil war, because the Biden regime will start off crushing what it sees as a coup by evil Alt-Right Trumpists and Trump supporters, will regard that as setting up a one-party state.
3) Some sort of compromise between the RNC and DNC, to be determined.
4) Radical de-centralization of the US
3) may break down into authoritarianism or civil war but 1) and 2) are almost guaranteed to. I'd aim for 3) and pick 4) if that fails. 4) is not without risk but it may be the only solution if a compromise cannot be found.
At the moment the most probable outcome is 1) with the Democrats pushing all the things they've ever thought of to make it impossible for them to lose elections. I've got no idea if the US will knuckle down and accept it or if it will melt down into civil war. Both of these are disastrous.
You're about right, yeah.
The thing is, Trump isn't authoritarian. He's expressed this over and over again. For example, he refused to act against Antifa rioters, pointing out over and over and over again that it was the responsibility of the local governments to do so, not him.
So the options I see are:
1. Capitulate, allowing the DNC and Biden to "have this one" in order for the "good of the country." This is the "cuck out" option, that I have no doubt the RINOs, NeoCons, Uniparty, and GOPe wants.
Best Case Scenario in this, there is a massive push for election security moving forward and we all just hope the DNC doesn't decide to pull the exact same LITERALLY HITLER!!!11!! thing they did with Trump, Bush Jr, Bush... Reagan ... probably more going back literally forever... to terrify their base, leading to this happening again. More likely, the DNC (or their corrupt as fuck local goons) would realize they can win anything by just printing ballots until they win, and would continue to abuse their local organization methods et all to steal elections, while consolidating power.
2. Trump continues to fight, but can't make headway, giving up at the end. This is the "sore loser" option. The DNC will bitch about it and rant and rave about Trump doing it for the next few decades, but it might just keep the right from abandoning the GOP. Biden is followed around by memes and mocked as being "installed, not elected" or what have you for his entire 4 years -- "Asterisk President" is one I've heard so far. 2022, 2024 would be interesting. Options from here include Trump making his America First Party, Trump going media personality type (Claiming to be "the real President" and tossing shade at Biden for the next 4 years), et cetera.
3. The GOP contests the election in January via the dueling electors, stopping the steal. Trump gets his second term, but the media goes apeshit ("they didn't call it for him!"), and the lefty base (being completely out of touch about this being a possibility) loses their minds. Lots of spread from here -- Pelosi would absolutely try and impeach him again for some stupid reason or another, for example. You'd basically see the GOPe fracture into the Never Trump GOPe / Neocons and the America First Party types. Antifa would be rioting constantly until 2025, if not moving on to outright bombing and other terror sprees.
3b. Trump provides SOME kind of evidence that even the DNC and their allies in the Judiciary / Media cannot suppress. The report due out today might have involved that, there appears to be a push from the DNC's glowy allies to suppress or remove it. Direct Evidence of Biden or Harris being compromised, Direct evidence that foreign interference occurred in the election, a whistleblower providing physical evidence of the fraud, et cetera. This is pretty much the same as contesting the election, but puts the GOP in a better position -- I feel a major part of Trump's plan in the past few weeks has been persuading the public in this manner.
4. Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and overturns the election himself. All bets are off here: We're either in a civil war at this point or all hell breaks lose.
I don't get why Trump is so damned calm, personally. It's like he knows something we don't.