To be sorta fair, the GOP is quite skilled at snatching defeat from the claws of victory. I like that the GOP is more behind Trump this time around than his first term, but Democrat whips are historically very good at their jobs. The socialist types gaining momentum is a double-edged sword: it could mean they run a George McGovern and get a 1972 result, or they could actually
win, in which case we're royally fucked. My hope is the former: the socialist wing of the Democrats gain control of the party, run some deranged candidate in 2028, and someone like JD Vance gets the GOP ticket with a blowout electoral victory.
Nixon's 1972 victory was one of the reasons the Democrats went after him so hard and stuck the Watergate thing on him: they could not fucking stand how badly they lost in 1972. Bring up the 1972 election to a Democrat and they'll only talk about Watergate, rather than the electoral map.
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Fun fact: literally every president spies on their political opponents. JFK did it. LBJ did it. FDR did it. Obama did it. It's nothing new. Nixon just got caught at it.