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Iranian officials continue to insist that Iran will “reopen” the strait to civilian shipping under “Iranian arrangements.” Any arrangement in which maritime traffic can only pass through Iran’s traffic separation scheme with Iranian approval contradicts the US demand for freedom of navigation, and such an arrangement would significantly undermine US interests and establish a dangerous precedent for the freedom of navigation in international waterways.
Iran is still trying to get control over the Strait of Hormuz. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out. Objectively, the Strait should return to pre-war freedom of navigation, but it would be hilarious if Trump and Israel's war resulted in Iran getting control. Somehow, MIGA would still find a way to frame it as a success, though.
MIGA talks about wanting to destroy everything and how funny it is to watch the world burn. It won't be funny for MIGA when their world burns because of their own retarded choices. The rest of the world will hate the US for decades to come if Iran gains control of the Strait.
Iran’s proposed sequencing of concessions would require the United States to surrender key sources of leverage before negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program begin, which would significantly reduce US leverage in any future nuclear negotiations.
Iran wants half of its frozen assets (around $60 billion frozen in total) released now, with the rest released around 60 days after the agreement. That influx of cash would help offset the loss of oil revenue from the blockade and the war itself. The US maintains the position that the assets will remain frozen. Iran is also trying to retain control of its highly enriched uranium (HEU) stockpile.
Iranian media outlet Nour News published an op-ed that emphasized the need for Iran to convert its recent “military victory” into broader political success, which reflects a belief within the regime that Iran emerged from the recent conflict in a position of strength. Iran’s maximalist and uncompromising negotiating positions reflect the Iranian regime’s effort to translate its perceived success in the war into long-term strategic and political gains.
Iran objectively "lost" in the military conflict, but as the ISW, milanalysts, and other experts have said, the end result is what matters most when analyzing a war. If the US fails to achieve its strategic goals even though it destroyed a lot of the Iranian military, then the war might be considered a failure. Trump's 6-week
war excursion, which he bragged about for months, could end in a US strategic failure, depending on how the situation develops.
An Israeli open-source intelligence analyst posted satellite imagery that shows Iranian reconstitution efforts at the Yazd Missile Base in Yazd Province since the start of the US-Iran ceasefire in April 2026. These reconstitution efforts corroborate ISW-CTP’s assessment that Iran is exploiting the ceasefire period to reconstitute its military capabilities at the tactical and operational levels.
The missile and drone forces have been rebuilding for some time. I suspect that's part of why Iran's military leadership appears publicly confident in its ability to fight in round 2. We can only know how well Iran's military has developed in the event of additional conflict.
Overall, the US and Israel war against Iran hasn't ended in an unconditional surrender as Trump originally demanded and Iran hasn't begged for peace like the right-wing YouTube and Rumble grifters claim. All of the clickbait videos that talk about how Iran is giving up, or it's over for Iran, are nonsense. Reality isn't favorable for the US right now, and it's pure cope when MIGA claims the Trump war against Iran is going amazingly.
I see posters in the Iran War thread talk about how few US casualties there are, and how smooth the war has been. People like them don't understand anything but the surface level of war. It doesn't take an expert with 20 years of experience to understand that if Iran gains control of the Strait of Hormuz, retains its HEU stockpile, continues to work towards a nuclear weapon, or allies with Russia, China, or North Korea, then the war itself wasn't a success. War is meant to achieve political objectives that peaceful negotiations cannot. If the war fails to achieve Trump and Israel's goals, then it was a failure, regardless of how few Americans were killed.
Gas and oil prices are high, Americans are pissed off, and domestic tensions within the US are worse than it's been in years. Life hasn't improved in the US, contrary to MIGA's claims. Just look at the Facebook boomers who are writing letters directly to the great leader who is
definitely reading them. They talk about how they're struggling to survive. They don't give a fuck if Iran was 15 years away from a nuclear weapon, when that boomer will be dead in a year because they can't afford food or medication.
