Besides the usual Jewsperging & kike faggotry, has there been anything actually important going on? I've seen that the whole south is basically redistricting to high Hell and raping the niggers who live there by not giving them participation Congresscritters anymore.
Despite it and the massive wins we've won, I'm still worried about midterms. Prediction markets are faggy, but chances at Dem sweep for both houses of Congress remain pretty fucking high, and that's very worrying. Do we all think that's mainly because of this war still dragging on?
It's hard to gauge the actual enthusiasm, because the younger people my age do not hold much love for Dems, but like most niggercattle, will vote in lockstep because "Orange Man Bad". Just look at last November's elections.
Pragmatically, do we have a really good chance at winning this bros?
We're kind of in a holding pattern right now.
Iran has been relatively quiet with a couple American wins(escorting ships through the straight and how the pathetic Iranian attacks were swatted)
The Retard Right has been in complete disarray since the SPLC indictment and how pathetic their convention was. They seem aimless and squabbling, and were the main source of doomerism on the right.
Predicting broad election results are a fools errand. The gambling markets are just that. They were right in 2024, but they were kind of a new thing the people in power didn't know how to deal with. They are now likely being manipulated. There was a story about the account that got the Maduro snatch right dumping a ton of money on boots on the ground in Iran after the start of the invasion, before he was charged. Could be he was trying to cover his ass and bet on something wrong, but I also suspect it was after he was caught, and that was an Intel op dumping his assets.
I can see political people watching reactions to the Gambling market in 2024, and seeing that as a way of influencing the electorate. They spend millions on shoddy polling just to energize or disenfranchise voters, it is probably pretty cheap to sway the prediction market. The percentage is only determined by whose betting what, if you drop $100k on a $900k prediction that I'll fuck up a word in my post because I'm on mobile, that increases the prediction odds 10% (this is extremely shoddy math just for example).
There is no secret esoteric knowledge, there is no massive research council making the figures. The odds are just percentages of who put money on which side with a cut taken out for the house, so it essentially can't lose money.
On to feelings for November. It's really hard to say because the events that will influence the election probably have happened yet. Gas prices won't come into play until mid/late Summer. There are things Trump can and likely will do to help, and there are things out of anyone's control that can't be predicted.
As it stands, I think Republicans are favored but it's far from a lock. Trump has a lot he can do, Iran resolution can sway from sore memory to wildly successful, the 250th Anniversary could be popular and give him a bump, the Democrats cheating in Georgia and Arizona could have all their dirty laundry put out. Depending on how things go, these could range from neutral to locking in a victory.
The Democrats on the other have have to just hope for or cause a disaster. Natural Disaster, a foreign country causing a massive problem, some economic bubble bursting. Judging by their reaction to the Republican Redistricting, they aren't confident. They treated just Texas's map as a major threat, and the seat advantage has only gotten monumentally worse for them from there. They still have pissed off megadonors, one who is spinning up his own spoiler party, where as Trump got even Elon back on the plantation.
