2025 US and Venezuela Conflict - Operation Just Cause 2: 2 Just 2 Cause

I grabbed the pictures and screenshots from a Telegram post but I use https://globe.adsbexchange.com/ to track flights. It's less intuitive than flightradar24 but you can get more info and it's free.
Cool TY. There is a Brazilian Military jet flying at Porte Alegre right now but destination isn't listed so unsure if it is going to land there. I'll keep an eye on it.

Edit: So it flew past Proto Alegre did a circle in the air and then literally just disappeared near a forest reserve. I'm guessing it landed at some small strip that isn't listed on the map.
 
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We know the S-300s can’t do shit against F-35s after the Israel-Iran war.
Thankfully the Ghost of Tehran was flying his F-14 and shot down four F-35s single-handedly. I've heard rumors of a Su-30 pilot of the Aviación Militar Bolivariana that has been training every day to fight against the USAF. Every Marine F-35B pilot right now is in fear of taking off from the Iwo Jima because he knows that the Ghost of Caracas is ready for them.
Sam Hyde Ghost of.webp
 
So we got a bit of a Russia situation then.
Except far worse. Russia is and has always been a Soviet rump state. I won't get into it here, but Russia has been a paper tiger its entire existence. The benefit Russia has, however, and the only reason it has been able to maintain itself in the war in Ukraine, is because of deep, deep stocks of Cold War equipment. The Soviets obsessively hoarded everything, so when Russia runs into a problem, they go dig out some Cold War deep storage bunkers and surge obsolete equipment into service. This is why we see AKMs, BMP-1s, base model T-62s, and even fucking Mosins in service by the Russians in Ukraine.

Venezuela has none of this. When Russians sell the tires off their BTRs and replace them with cheap knockoffs literally from Wish.com, and those tires explode, the Russians can sigh and dig out an older BTR out of storage which, while being an obsolete piece of shit, still functions. When Venezuelans sell the tires off of their vehicles, they just have one less vehicle to put into service.
So what are your bets on how quickly our air force can complete the SEAD operation? I’d say a week at most. We know the S-300s can’t do shit against F-35s after the Israel-Iran war.
Bold of you to assume that SEAD is even necessary. It would be difficult to overstate just how poor of a condition the Venezuelan military is in.
 
The benefit Russia has, however, and the only reason it has been able to maintain itself in the war in Ukraine, is because of deep, deep stocks of Cold War equipment.
It's also easier to keep guns, tanks, and whatnot in working order in Russia since it's a frozen wasteland 6+ months out of the year unlike Venezuela which is a humid jungle where any exposed metal will rust in an hour.
 
So what are your bets on how quickly our air force can complete the SEAD operation? I’d say a week at most. We know the S-300s can’t do shit against F-35s after the Israel-Iran war.
Nigga, we just gonna send the A-10's in raw and unlubed. They might have some autocannons. Maybe some MANPADS. All of it stored in humid South American conditions. They are so fucked.
 
I wonder if American ZOGbots are ashamed to only ever fight such laughably weak opponents.
I mean, Venezuela, seriously? What, was Grenada not available for a rematch?
Grenada had no real military but a real problematic communist insurgency.
As for Venezuela this would be a cluster fuck because youre dealing with a few million guys with AKs and a military with a brown water navy and a nation with jungles and mountains.
Also the US of today isnt the post 9/11 beast anymore.
 
it's beginning to look like there might be a military operation and that means we need a Happening thread!
Lolno. You cannot Churro the Maduro.

Supremely unlikely. After the purges and reorganizations carried out last time Venezuela saw unrest, there's really no internal structure, in my opinion, which would facilitate a coup.
The only force in Venezuela with the resources and organization to topple Maduro (assuming you could Churro him. Which you can't) would be the Brazilian or Cuban army the Cartels, and they are why Trump deployed the Navy.

It's also easier to keep guns, tanks, and whatnot in working order in Russia since it's a frozen wasteland 6+ months out of the year unlike Venezuela which is a humid jungle where any exposed metal will rust in an hour.
The issue is that Russia doesn't keep them in frozen wasteland, they keep them in more temporate bases with not only plenty of freeze & thaw but more deterimental to the equipment, where precipitation (and thus humidity) is quite high.
The Soviets had to put little dehumidifiers they hooked over the barrel and commander's hatch on their tanks kept outdoors to keep the internals from rusting out, corroding, and molding.
 
So what are your bets on how quickly our air force can complete the SEAD operation? I’d say a week at most. We know the S-300s can’t do shit against F-35s after the Israel-Iran war.
Define "complete"?

Because as it stands, there are probably already sections of Venezuela the USAF/USN/USMC can operate with functional air dominance, and even at "full strength" Venezuela's AD & Air Force roster is only deep enough to possibly inflict casualties - but not actually *stop* an air campaign.

But on the other hand if we define "complete" as "there is no longer any weapon in Venezuelan hands that can bring down a US jet", then probably months to longer than a year.
There's always gonna be some MANPADS or some short-range SAM on a smaller chassis hiding somewhere.
 
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