Science Betelgeuse confounds scientists yet again by getting 50% brighter

From Cosmos Magazine, archive.
6 June 2023 / Evrim Yazgin

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Betelgeuse, the 10th-brightest star in the night sky, is toying with astronomers yet again. This time it has become 50 percent brighter.

The increase in brightness has some speculating whether we’re on the verge of witnessing a Betelgeuse supernova. Thankfully, at about 724 light years from Earth, we would not be adversely affected, yet we would be able to see the awesome flash caused by such an event.

Betelgeuse has been getting darker and brighter in recent years. In 2019, the star dimmed to approximately one-third its normal brightness.
(N.B. Kiwi Farms had an A&N thread on the 2019 "great dimming")

Observations accidentally captured by the Himawari-8 weather satellite suggest the “Great Dimming” was caused by a combination of the star’s cooling and condensation by a nearby dust cloud.

Just a few years later, Betelgeuse is showing that it is not just a one-trick pony.

The red supergiant is the second-brightest star in the Orion constellation. It’s also what is known as a pulsating semiregular variable star. This basically means that its brightness changes on a roughly periodic basis.

Betelgeuse has a 400-day brightness changing cycle. It also has a 125-day cycle, a 230-day cycle, and a 2,200-day cycle.

The star is nearing the end of its life. It’s believed that 8-8.5 million years ago, Betelgeuse left the main sequence of stars and became a red supergiant. This means that the star used up all its hydrogen fuel, fusing it into helium, causing an expansion and cooling of the star.

Now fusing helium into heavier elements like carbon, eventually the star will produce even heavier elements and explode in a supernova.

Some astronomers believe the star is in the latter stages of this process. But how long it has left remains unclear. Even determining where in its evolution Betelgeuse lies is not clear cut and some astronomers suggest that it hasn’t even finished burning its helium.

A study, submitted for peer review, examining the recent increase in the star’s brightness suggests a number of possibilities for the star’s increased visibility. One of them is that Betelgeuse might be going supernova within 10 years. But this isn’t the only possible outcome.

The authors write: “In fact, it is not possible to determine the exact evolutionary stage, because surface conditions hardly change in the late stage close to the carbon exhaustion and beyond.”

Despite the uncertainty around the exact timing, one thing is certain: Betelgeuse will go supernova. Eventually.

And when it does, it will light up the night sky.

The brightest supernova in recorded history, now known as SN 1006, occurred in the year 1006 CE and was visible for months. Some scientists and historians believe that the supernova was so bright that people living over a thousand years ago could read under its light.

Benedictine monks in Switzerland wrote about a star “glittering in aspect and dazzling the eyes, causing alarm.” Egyptian physician and astronomer Ali ibn Ridwan wrote that “the sky was shining” and calculated that the supernova was three times as bright as Venus. Modern astronomers estimate that the star exploded about 7,200 light years from us.

The last supernova to occur in the Milky Way galaxy was recorded by German astronomer Johannes Kepler in 1604. It lasted several weeks. Now known as SN 1604 or “Kepler’s supernova,” and described in Kepler’s book De Stella Nova, the star became brighter than Jupiter and Mars at its brightest.

When Betelgeuse explodes, astronomers believe the supernova may be as bright as the sun.
 
This would be amazing to witness. Even if it doesn’t happen in my lifetime it’s good to be reminded that there are amazing things humans can do when they aren’t obsessively naval gazing.
 
Will be as bright as the sun and will shine for months.
Nothing to worry about. Right?

Guess it depends on in which direction it happens to be relative to the sun.
1, it will appear close to the sun. Imagine that instead of one sun you have TWO suns. How many days before pretty much every farm and field have been dried out and all vegetation has died? That sounds at best like extremely severe global food shortages and buushfires like we have never seen before.
2, it could appear at opposite direction of the sun. Then during the day we have the normal sun and during the night we have the new sun. Sunshine 24-7 on every place on earth. Doesn't sound ideal for any farms or land either.

We are going to have double the "sunlight" for several months. Wow. We will see global warming like never before. And it will happen from one day to the next. I think anywhere, except close to the poles, things will become real fucking hot. Like turbo-death-valley and then add another hundred degrees or so. Lol fucking lol. Maybe your house will self-combust due to the extra "sunlight" lol.
Guess I should go shop around for very large industrial scale AC solution for my house.
 
Última edición:
The increase in brightness has some speculating whether we’re on the verge of witnessing a Betelgeuse supernova. Thankfully, at about 724 light years from Earth, we would not be adversely affected
That depends on whether or not we're in the path of the inevitable gamma ray burst.
 
Awh, Betelgeuse is dieing :(
I have a fond memory of my dad bringing out his telescope and showing me the stars and stuff when I was a tiny lil lass, and vividly remember him talking about Betelgeuse and w watching the orange flickering (one of the few good memories with the crotchety old bastard)
But damn will that be cool to see, even if 24/7 sunlight would be my own personal hell.
 
This would be amazing to witness. Even if it doesn’t happen in my lifetime it’s good to be reminded that there are amazing things humans can do when they aren’t obsessively naval gazing.
Sure, Edomite. You know all this needless money studying these 'stars' could go into helping vulnerable BIPOC folx instead, right?
 
Will be as bright as the sun and will shine for months.
Nothing to worry about. Right?

Guess it depends on in which direction it happens to be relative to the sun.
1, it will appear close to the sun. Imagine that instead of one sun you have TWO suns. How many days before pretty much every farm and field have been dried out and all vegetation has died? That sounds at best like extremely severe global food shortages and buushfires like we have never seen before.
2, it could appear at opposite direction of the sun. Then during the day we have the normal sun and during the night we have the new sun. Sunshine 24-7 on every place on earth. Doesn't sound ideal for any farms or land either.

We are going to have double the "sunlight" for several months. Wow. We will see global warming like never before. And it will happen from one day to the next. I think anywhere, except close to the poles, things will become real fucking hot. Like turbo-death-valley and then add another hundred degrees or so. Lol fucking lol. Maybe your house will self-combust due to the extra "sunlight" lol.
Guess I should go shop around for very large industrial scale AC solution for my house.

The way it's phrased, the "bright as the sun" is probably hyperbole. A real "daylight forever" scenario would be an ecological disaster and probably would've been more alarmist.

Also relevant:
2011-09-08-362-SunsSong1.jpeg
 
The way it's phrased, the "bright as the sun" is probably hyperbole. A real "daylight forever" scenario would be an ecological disaster and probably would've been more alarmist.
Let us just hope so. Because the alternative is an extinction event.
The other supernova they refer to was about 10 times further away and still provided enough radiation so folks could read a night.
Something of equal size, if it is of equal size, at a tenth of the distance would radiate on us 10^3 times as much energy.
 
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