I think the Civiqs approval poll is fucking with the numbers.
If you care why I just focus on this poll: they report everyday so you can clearly see a continuous noisy trendline down for Ol' Joe, they break down approval by state, and it's a generic baseline that you need to start if you want to see trends. Also, switching polls midstream while using one baseline is unwise because comparing different methodologies may skew results so keeping the same probing method is good for testing.
I say this because when I checked on Civiqs a few days ago:
Maryland is still Approve +2, but the others have crashed.
Massachusetts is now approve +4.
Vermont is approve +3.
Hawaii is approve +8
I just read the numbers off the website, nothing more.
Not only do these numbers not exist when you look back at the time when the post was done, but the treadline was moved in various ways. I'll use the Riden with Biden Four for example. Net approval is still -22.
Maryland is approve+1 now, which I don't even believe because its been static for over a month while Democrat bastions like California and New York has only gotten worse for Joe in that month.
Massachusetts is now back to approve+7, which makes little sense that it could just puff back up. It could be noise, but time will tell.
Vermont is similar at Approve+7. Semi-similar demographics from MA, except whiter and more college educated. Still a far cry from the +2 that's now erased from the books.
The most damning thing is Hawaii. Hawaii is now Approve+4, signifying a large crack in Asian support since whiter states have only "stayed at +7" for the "fortified results." However, higher asain populations like California were not affected in the slightest. Don't have any idea what they did here.
I really don't know what their doing fudging the numbers like this (methodology wise, we all know why), but without significant movement in the other states, I think Civiqs is trying to keep up appearences for Joe. Remember that new push that "The media is so unfair to Biden" narrative that they created. These guys must've gotten the memo.
TLDR: What's his true approval rating then?
Lower than they tell you.